Open access
RESTRICTIONS AND BARRIERS IN PREDICTING THREATS TO NATIONAL SECURITY
Halina ŚWIEBODA1
Security Issues
Publication language: Polish
Journal article
Transformations No. 1-2 (92-93) 2017, Publication date: 23 May 2017
Keywords: forecasting, threat to state security, barrier
Abstract General idea of what may be, is better than nothing (...). If wrong - it's still beneficial ", because we gain time for appropriate action. This is particularly important if the risks, events, events are dealt with in the context of national security. Forecasting has many supporters as well as opponents but as long as people do not come up with other methods and tools to be considered their application and development necessary in particular to serve as a basis for decision-making - in the case of a country are often strategic decisions. Article dedicated to the identification of barriers that arise in the process of forecasting threats to national security in the context of different ways of predicting the future.
Instytut Inzynierii Systemów Bezpieczeństwa,Wydział Bezpieczeństwa Narodowego, Akademia Obrony Narodowej, Warszawa
E-mail: h.swieboda@aon.edu.pl